中国保险资管协会调查：股票是保险机构下半年首选

Group 1 - The core investment preference for insurance institutions in the second half of 2025 is stocks, followed by bonds and securities investment funds [1][4] - Most insurance institutions expect their asset allocation ratios to remain consistent with early 2025, with some potentially increasing stock and bond investments slightly [1][4] Group 2 - The survey covered macro environment, market judgment, allocation plans, and return expectations, involving 122 insurance institutions, including 36 asset management firms and 86 insurance companies [4] - Insurance institutions anticipate a moderately loose monetary policy in the second half of the year, focusing on timely reserve requirement ratio and interest rate cuts, and maintaining ample liquidity [4] - Fiscal policy is expected to be more proactive, leaning towards expansion to boost domestic demand and consumption, potentially increasing the issuance of ultra-long special bonds [4] Group 3 - Most insurance institutions hold an optimistic view on the A-share market, predicting the Shanghai Composite Index to likely remain between 3200 and 3800 points [4] - The sectors favored by insurance institutions include pharmaceuticals, electronics, banking, computers, telecommunications, and national defense, with a focus on artificial intelligence, dividend assets, new productivity, high dividend yields, and innovative pharmaceuticals [4] - Corporate profit growth is seen as the main factor influencing the A-share market in the second half of the year [4] Group 4 - For the bond market, most insurance institutions maintain a neutral to slightly optimistic outlook, expecting the 10-year government bond yield to range between 1.4% and 1.6%, and high-grade credit bond yields between 1.5% and 2.0% [4] - The preferred bond types include ultra-long special bonds, perpetual bonds, convertible bonds, and credit bonds with maturities over 10 years [4] - Key factors affecting the bond market include the economic fundamentals, the degree of monetary policy easing, and market liquidity [4]