中信证券：鲍威尔鸽派发言后 “补涨”的交易逻辑将主导接下来的美股市场

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that the Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates three times this year, each by 25 basis points, aligning with previous expectations [1] - The "rate cut trade" in the U.S. stock market is anticipated to become clearer, with a focus on "catch-up" trading logic dominating the market [1] - Similar to the "rate cut trade" in July 2024, sectors sensitive to interest rates such as Russell 2000, S&P 500 Real Estate, and Nasdaq Biotechnology are expected to experience upward trends [1] Group 2 - The market's expectations for the Federal Reserve's rate cuts are still somewhat distant from the company's views, suggesting a potential for slight declines in U.S. Treasury yields and the U.S. dollar index [1] - Powell's dovish remarks and a weaker dollar are expected to boost global equity market risk appetite [1] - The anticipated rate cuts are likely to support gold prices, although there is a caution regarding potential negative impacts from a possible agreement between Russia and Ukraine [1]