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中信证券:A股本轮行情并非散户市 未来延续需要新的配置线索
智通财经网·2025-08-24 09:02

Core Viewpoint - The current market rally is primarily driven by high-net-worth individuals and corporate clients rather than retail investors, with a focus on industrial trends and performance rather than mere liquidity [1][4][6] Fund Participation - High-net-worth individuals and corporate clients show significantly higher enthusiasm for market participation, with new A-share accounts increasing by 71% year-on-year in July 2025 [1] - Private equity products are gaining more traction compared to public offerings, with private equity registration scale rising by 164% month-on-month in July [2] Market Trends - The rally is characterized by sectors with strong industrial trends and performance, such as gaming and innovative pharmaceuticals, which have seen substantial price increases since April [3] - The current market liquidity structure differs from previous years, with "smart money" entering through specialized institutions rather than retail-driven public fund expansions [4][5] Market Metrics - The proportion of settlement funds to circulating market value is approximately 8.07%, which is within a reasonable range compared to previous market upswings [6] - The weighted net value of actively managed public funds from 2020-2021 is approaching the breakeven point, indicating potential for concentrated redemptions [7] Future Investment Focus - Future market continuation will require new allocation cues rather than relying solely on liquidity; sectors such as resources, innovative pharmaceuticals, gaming, and military industry are recommended for focus [8][9] - The upcoming September consumer electronics events may present significant thematic opportunities, alongside a focus on "anti-involution + overseas expansion" strategies in resource and chemical sectors [9]