梅花生物(600873)：Q2业绩符合预期 全球化布局迈入新阶段

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 12.28 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-over-year decrease of 3%, while net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 20% to 1.768 billion yuan [1] - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 6.012 billion yuan, down 2% year-over-year and 4% quarter-over-quarter, with a net profit of 749 million yuan, reflecting a 4% increase year-over-year but a 26% decrease quarter-over-quarter [1] - The company maintained a gross margin of 21.71% in Q2 2025, with a net profit margin of 12.46%, indicating slight year-over-year and quarter-over-quarter changes [1] Revenue Breakdown - For H1 2025, the revenue from various segments was as follows: flavoring agents (3.566 billion yuan, -8% YoY), feed amino acids (5.660 billion yuan, +3% YoY), pharmaceutical amino acids (247 million yuan, -1% YoY), raw material by-products (1.889 billion yuan, -1% YoY), and others (918 million yuan, -19% YoY) [2] - In Q2 2025, the revenue from flavoring agents was 1.756 billion yuan (-3% QoQ), feed amino acids 2.721 billion yuan (-7% QoQ), pharmaceutical amino acids 125 million yuan (+3% QoQ), raw material by-products 952 million yuan (+2% QoQ), and others 457 million yuan (-1% QoQ) [2] Product Pricing and Market Conditions - The average price of monosodium glutamate was 7,229 yuan/ton, down 9% YoY but up 1% QoQ, with a price difference of 2,535 yuan/ton, down 17% YoY and 9% QoQ [2] - The average price of 98.5% lysine was 8.26 yuan/kg, down 21% YoY and 16% QoQ, with a price difference of 2.40 yuan/kg, down 45% YoY and QoQ [2] - The average price of 70% lysine remained stable at 5.44 yuan/kg, with a price difference of 1.20 yuan/kg, up 15% YoY but down 15% QoQ [2] Strategic Developments - The company accelerated its international expansion strategy, completing the acquisition of assets from Xiehe Fermentation, which includes various amino acids and HMO business operations across multiple regions [2] - Ongoing greenfield investment assessments are being conducted in Central Asia, focusing on raw materials, energy, and business environment factors [2] Profit Forecast - The profit forecast for the company for 2025-2027 is set at 3.313 billion yuan, 3.467 billion yuan, and 3.713 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 9, 9, and 8 times [3]