台风“剑鱼”有何特点？是否会登陆海南？专家分析

Core Viewpoint - Typhoon "Jianyu" has intensified to a strong typhoon level, impacting Hainan with severe wind and rain, prompting multiple cities and counties to initiate emergency responses to mitigate risks such as flooding and geological disasters [1][3]. Group 1: Typhoon Characteristics - Typhoon "Jianyu" is characterized by its rapid movement, with expectations of it passing near the coast from Sanya to Ledong in the evening to night of the 24th [1]. - The typhoon's path resembles that of summer typhoons, influenced by the subtropical high pressure, moving predominantly westward [5]. - The central meteorological authority indicates that the main circulation of the typhoon will increasingly affect the southern coastal areas of Hainan, with significant rainfall expected [3][5]. Group 2: Historical Context and Impact - Historically, August is an active period for tropical cyclones in Hainan, but landfall events are relatively rare; strong typhoons are even less common [7]. - If "Jianyu" makes landfall in Sanya as a strong typhoon (42 m/s), it could become the strongest typhoon to hit the area in nearly 40 years, approaching historical intensity records [9].