北美暑期档“高开低走”，专业机构将票房预测下调至37.5亿美元

Group 1 - The North American summer box office is unlikely to exceed $4 billion this year, with industry insiders attributing this to a lack of blockbuster hits like "Barbie" and "Inside Out 2" from previous years [1][2] - Prior to the summer season, Hollywood had optimistic expectations, anticipating a significant increase over last year's $3.7 billion, driven by films such as "Mission: Impossible 8" and "Jurassic World: Rebirth" [2] - However, after July, the North American box office began to decline sharply, with ticket sales down 6% compared to the previous year and a staggering 11% drop compared to 2023 [2][3] Group 2 - Comscore has revised its summer box office forecast for North America to $3.75 billion, which is an 8% decrease from 2023, although it represents a slight increase of 2% compared to 2024 [2] - Industry experts warn that Hollywood may face a downturn from August to September due to the absence of major releases, with only potential improvements expected in November with films like "Wicked 2" and "Zootopia 2" [3] - The real blockbuster potential for 2025 is anticipated to hinge on the release of "Avatar 3: The Fire and Ash" at the end of the year [3]