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海容冷链(603187)25H1财报点评:冷藏柜份额提升 东南亚需求爆发

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a significant acceleration in revenue and performance in Q2 2025, driven by expanding overseas market demand, indicating an upward turning point in operations [1]. Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 1.791 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.86%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 221 million yuan, up 10.38% year-on-year [2]. - In Q2 2025, the company recorded operating revenue of 882 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19.96%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 117 million yuan, up 36.63% year-on-year [2]. Investment Outlook - The profit forecast has been raised, maintaining a "buy" rating. The expected net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is projected at 397 million, 463 million, and 577 million yuan, representing year-on-year growth of 12%, 17%, and 25% respectively [2]. - The target price has been adjusted to 19.57 yuan, based on a 19x PE ratio for 2025 [2]. Market Dynamics - The domestic market is seeing an increase in the share of refrigerated products, while overseas demand for frozen cabinets in Indonesia is experiencing a significant surge [3]. - The company is actively responding to the trend of domestic fast-moving consumer goods going overseas, with exports to Indonesia expected to account for 65-70% of total exports [3]. Strategic Investments - The company plans to invest an additional 90 million yuan to establish a new subsidiary in Indonesia and build a commercial display cabinet manufacturing plant, following a previous investment of 377 million yuan [3]. - This investment is driven by the demand from international clients for increased supply capabilities of smart vending machines and the strategic upgrade of the Indonesian project to support the company's global market strategy [3].