Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-08-25 00:36Core Viewpoint - The company reported a mixed performance for 1H25, with a decline in revenue but a significant increase in net profit, driven by rising production and prices of key mineral products [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In 1H25, the company achieved revenue of 94.8 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7.8%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 8.67 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 60% [1] - For 2Q25, revenue was 48.8 billion yuan, down 14% year-on-year but up 6% quarter-on-quarter; net profit was 4.73 billion yuan, up 41% year-on-year and 20% quarter-on-quarter [1] - The record high profit in 1H25 was mainly due to the increase in both volume and price of the company's main mineral products [1] Group 2: Production and Sales - In 1H25, the company produced 354,000 tons of copper and 61,000 tons of cobalt, both up 13% year-on-year, achieving 56% of the 2025 guidance midpoint for both metals [1] - Cobalt sales were impacted by an export ban from the Democratic Republic of Congo, resulting in a sales volume of 46,000 tons, down 9% year-on-year, with a production-to-sales ratio of only 76% [1] - Sales volumes for molybdenum, tungsten, niobium, and phosphate fertilizer increased by 1%, 7%, 5%, and 9% year-on-year, respectively [1] Group 3: Price Trends - Average market prices for copper, cobalt, molybdenum, APT, niobium, and monoammonium phosphate increased by 4%, 8%, 1%, 12%, -0.2%, and 19% year-on-year, respectively [1] - The discount coefficient for cobalt hydroxide increased by 13 percentage points year-on-year [1] Group 4: Future Development Trends - The copper and cobalt, gold, and tungsten-molybdenum businesses are expected to experience upward momentum [2] - The company plans to achieve an annual copper production capacity of 800,000 to 1 million tons by 2028, representing a 23% to 54% increase from 2024 production levels [2] - The company has appointed new executives to enhance its management capabilities and aims to become a world-class mining enterprise [2] Group 5: Profit Forecast and Valuation - Due to rising prices of key mineral products, the company's net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been raised by 7% and 21% to 16.3 billion yuan and 20.6 billion yuan, respectively [3] - The current A-share price corresponds to a price-to-earnings ratio of 14.6 and 11.5 for 2025 and 2026, while the H-share price corresponds to 13.1 and 10.2 [3] - The target price for A-shares has been increased by 31% to 14.5 yuan, indicating a potential upside of 30.5% from the current price [3]