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国金证券:供改正式落地叠加多点催化 稀土板块迎戴维斯双击
智通财经网·2025-08-25 02:10

Group 1 - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, National Development and Reform Commission, and Ministry of Natural Resources released the "Interim Measures for Total Quantity Control Management of Rare Earth Mining and Smelting Separation," indicating a formal start to supply-side reforms in the rare earth sector [1] - The new measures clarify the regulatory framework for the rare earth industry, including the inclusion of previously unregulated imported mineral smelting operations and the establishment of a traceability management system [1] - The processing fees for heavy rare earth minerals have surged from 1,500 yuan/ton to 15,000 yuan/ton, signaling a significant shift in the market dynamics and indicating a reduction in the supply of imported ion minerals [1] Group 2 - Exports of terbium oxide and neodymium iron boron have shown signs of recovery after a decline following the implementation of export controls in April 2025, with July figures showing a year-on-year decrease of 35% for terbium oxide and a 6% increase for neodymium iron boron [2] - The price of overseas terbium oxide and neodymium oxide has risen to 910 and 3,550 USD/kg respectively, with significant premiums over domestic prices, suggesting potential for further export recovery [2] Group 3 - Local authorities in Kachin, Myanmar, have mandated a complete halt to rare earth mining operations by December 31, 2025, which could impact domestic supply of over 500 tons/month of neodymium oxide [3] - The situation in Myanmar may lead to prolonged supply disruptions, similar to previous instances in other mining regions [3] Group 4 - The first batch of total control indicators for rare earth mining and smelting separation has been issued to China Rare Earth Group and Northern Rare Earth, but it is expected that these indicators will no longer be publicly disclosed in the future [4]