Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that the US dollar is attempting to rebound against major currencies, but remains under pressure due to dovish signals from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell regarding potential interest rate cuts [1] - Market expectations suggest a high probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in September, with an overall anticipated reduction of approximately 48 basis points by the end of the year [1][2] - Political uncertainties, particularly President Trump's criticisms of the Federal Reserve's policies, are contributing to downward pressure on the dollar, raising concerns about the Fed's independence [1] Group 2 - Investors are closely monitoring the upcoming US PCE price index report, which is expected to show a year-on-year increase of 2.9%, as this data could further influence the Federal Reserve's policy direction and market sentiment [2] - In terms of technical analysis, the momentum indicators are neutral, and the dollar index needs to close below 97.55 to confirm a bearish signal [2] - Initial support for the dollar index is at 97.55, with further support at 97.20, while initial resistance is at 98.83 and then at 99.08 [2]
美联储9月降息或成定局 美元低位挣扎反弹
Jin Tou Wang·2025-08-25 03:18