用电量增长看产业结构的三重变化

Core Insights - The total electricity consumption in China reached 10,226 billion kWh in July, marking a year-on-year growth of 8.6%, and the cumulative electricity consumption for the first seven months increased by 4.5% [1][5] Group 1: Industrial Sector - The transition from old to new energy sources in the industrial sector is accelerating, with high-tech and equipment manufacturing industries showing a higher growth rate in electricity consumption compared to the four major high-energy-consuming industries (chemicals, building materials, steel, and non-ferrous metals) [1][2] - In July, the electricity consumption of the secondary industry was 5,936 billion kWh, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 4.7%, which is 1.5 percentage points higher than June, indicating a steady improvement in industrial production [1] Group 2: Digital Economy - The electricity consumption of the tertiary industry grew by 7.8% in the first seven months, with the internet and related services sector experiencing a remarkable increase of 28.2% [3] - The rapid development of technologies such as big data, cloud computing, and artificial intelligence has made the digital economy a key variable driving the surge in electricity demand [3] Group 3: Energy Supply Structure - The energy supply structure is undergoing a transformation, with the average temperature in July reaching a historical high since 1961, leading to an 18.0% year-on-year increase in residential electricity consumption [4] - The country effectively managed a historical peak electricity load of 15.08 million kW without implementing orderly electricity consumption measures, showcasing improved energy security capabilities [4] - The installed capacity of renewable energy sources has surpassed that of thermal power, with non-fossil energy accounting for over 60% of the total installed capacity, indicating a significant acceleration in the green energy transition [4] Group 4: Overall Outlook - The historic milestone of surpassing 10 trillion kWh in monthly electricity consumption not only reflects the ability to respond to extreme weather but also illustrates the ongoing industrial upgrade and green transition [5] - The growth of emerging industries is expected to unleash greater potential for the Chinese economy in the future [5]