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中泰证券:国内风电整机盈利修复 海上风机、海外出口打开空间
智通财经网·2025-08-25 03:56

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that domestic offshore wind turbine and overseas export turbine gross margins are significantly higher than domestic ones, with expectations for improvement in gross margins in the second half of 2025 or the first half of 2026 due to increased shipments from major manufacturers and structural optimization [1] - The expected delivery of price-increased orders for wind turbines will begin in Q3, indicating a potential turning point for domestic onshore wind profitability [1] - The average bidding price for onshore wind turbines (excluding towers) is projected to rise from 1382 RMB/kW in the first half of 2024 to 1496 RMB/kW in the first half of 2025, an 8% year-on-year increase, while the average bidding price including towers is expected to increase by 21% year-on-year to 2096 RMB/kW [1] Group 2 - The year 2025 is anticipated to be a recovery year for domestic offshore wind, with expectations for further upward trends in 2026 and beyond due to the commencement of key short-term projects and a rich pipeline of mid-to-long-term offshore wind approvals [2] - There is significant potential for overseas wind power expansion, with domestic wind turbine exports expected to account for 14% of new overseas installations in 2024, indicating room for growth in the overseas market [2] - Major domestic manufacturers have set ambitious delivery and new order targets for 2025, with expected deliveries of 3.5 GW for Goldwind, 0.3-0.5 GW for Mingyang, 0.3-0.4 GW for Yunda, and 1-1.5 GW for SANY, alongside new order targets of over 6 GW, 4 GW, 2+ GW, and 3+ GW respectively [2]