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财报前瞻 | 百思买(BBY.US)Q2盈利或承压 华尔街紧盯消费需求与关税冲击
Best BuyBest Buy(US:BBY) 智通财经网·2025-08-25 08:13

Core Viewpoint - Best Buy (BBY.US) is under significant pressure to maintain profitability amid increasing market competition and changing consumer preferences, with a focus on its upcoming Q2 2025 financial results [1] Financial Performance Expectations - Market consensus anticipates Q2 revenue of $92.31 billion, a year-over-year decline of 0.6%, with same-store sales down 0.5% and earnings per share (EPS) at $1.20, reflecting a 10.2% decrease [1] - JPMorgan forecasts that Best Buy's Q2 same-store sales will decline approximately 0.6%, aligning with market expectations, but predicts EPS could reach $1.26, exceeding consensus due to effective cost management [2] - Wedbush analysts project EPS could be as high as $1.27, driven by positive consumer trends and increasing store and online traffic, despite ongoing challenges in overall electronic demand [4] Strategic Insights - Analysts highlight that strong sales in computing devices and positive market response to the new Nintendo Switch model are key growth drivers, offsetting declines in TV and appliance sales due to a sluggish real estate market [2] - JPMorgan emphasizes the potential for Best Buy to maintain its guidance for the second half of 2025, while also noting the need to monitor any strategic adjustments related to consumer demand risks [3] Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - Despite a generally negative market sentiment towards Best Buy, JPMorgan views the current stock price as a good risk-reward opportunity, placing it on a "positive catalyst watch list" since early June [3] - JPMorgan's optimistic long-term forecast for fiscal year 2027 includes a projected 2.9% growth in same-store sales and an increase in operating margin to 4.7%, with a credible path towards a 5% margin if key categories recover [3] Cost Management and Profitability - Analysts note that while Best Buy faces pressures from tariffs and rising costs, the company has adjusted its annual expectations and is working closely with suppliers to mitigate these impacts [4][5] - The average discount rate for the second quarter is expected to be around 13%, indicating a continued reliance on promotions in the appliance and consumer electronics sectors [5]