【黄金期货收评】美联储9月降息预期飙到90% 沪金日内上涨0.46%

Group 1: Gold Market - The Shanghai gold futures price closed at 779.18 CNY per gram on August 25, with a daily increase of 0.46% and a trading volume of 226,253 contracts [1] - The spot price of gold in Shanghai was quoted at 775.72 CNY per gram, indicating a discount of 3.46 CNY compared to the futures price [1] - Current market sentiment is cautious, with gold prices experiencing narrow fluctuations around moving averages, and MACD showing limited movement [4] Group 2: Economic Indicators - The U.S. manufacturing PMI for August recorded an initial value of 53.3, the highest level since May 2022, significantly exceeding the expected 49.5 [2] - The services PMI slightly decreased to 55.4, but the strong recovery in manufacturing pushed the composite PMI to a nine-month high of 55.4 [2] - Initial jobless claims in the U.S. rose by 11,000 to 235,000, the highest since June, indicating a potential cooling in the job market [3] Group 3: Federal Reserve and Interest Rates - Following remarks from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, market expectations for a rate cut in September have increased to 90% [3] - Powell indicated a shift in risk balance, suggesting a potential adjustment in policy stance due to rising risks in the job market [3] - The market is closely monitoring Powell's upcoming speech for further insights into monetary policy direction [4]