NVTS Targets AI Data Centers: Can it Capitalize on the 800-Volt Shift?

Core Insights - Navitas Semiconductor is shifting its focus to AI data centers due to rising power demands, with estimates indicating that power demand for AI could increase from 7 gigawatts in 2023 to over 70 gigawatts by 2030, presenting a significant opportunity for the company [1][9] Market Opportunity - The transition to 800-volt architectures for data centers, as announced by NVIDIA, is expected to create a substantial need for advanced power chips made from gallium nitride (GaN) and silicon carbide (SiC), which are more efficient at high voltages [2][3] - Navitas estimates that the market for GaN and SiC chips could reach $2.6 billion annually by 2030, as the company prepares products for the three stages of the new 800-volt setup [3] Financial Outlook - Despite anticipated revenue declines in the third quarter due to tariff risks in China, Navitas expects long-term growth driven by the expansion of AI data centers and energy systems [4] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate predicts a 35% year-over-year decline in NVTS' 2025 revenues, but a recovery is expected in 2026 with an estimated growth of 23.2% [4][9] Competitive Landscape - Navitas faces competition from companies like Wolfspeed and ON Semiconductor, which are also targeting high-voltage solutions for AI data centers [5][6] - ON Semiconductor is expanding its SiC portfolio and has partnered with NVIDIA to support the transition to 800-volt systems [5] - Wolfspeed is investing in a $3 billion fab to supply SiC for high-voltage applications, including AI data center power infrastructure [6] Stock Performance and Valuation - Navitas Semiconductor's shares have increased by 80.2% year-to-date, outperforming the Zacks Electronics – Semiconductors industry's growth of 16.5% [7] - The company trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 22X, significantly higher than the industry average of 8.66X [10]