Corcept Shares Rise 39.6% in YTD: How Should You Play the Stock?

Core Insights - Corcept Therapeutics (CORT) has shown a strong performance in 2025, with shares increasing by 39.6%, significantly outperforming the industry average of 10.2% [1][7] - The company's lead pipeline candidate, relacorilant, is progressing towards potential FDA approval for Cushing's syndrome by December 2025, which is expected to enhance growth prospects [2][3] Pipeline Developments - Corcept submitted a new drug application (NDA) for relacorilant to the FDA for treating hypercortisolism in December 2024, which was accepted in March 2025 [3][7] - The NDA is supported by positive data from the GRACE study and phase III GRADIENT study, indicating strong efficacy for relacorilant [4] - A second NDA was submitted for relacorilant in combination with nab-paclitaxel for platinum-resistant ovarian cancer, based on positive phase III ROSELLA study results [5][8] Financial Performance - Korlym, the only marketed product, generated sales of $351.6 million in the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-over-year increase of approximately 13.2% [12] - Full-year 2025 sales for Korlym are estimated at $857.1 million, indicating a nearly 27% increase year-over-year [12] - The company has lowered its total revenue guidance for 2025 to a range of $850-$900 million, down from the previous estimate of $900-$950 million [13] Valuation Metrics - Corcept's shares are trading at a price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 11.83, which is significantly higher than the industry average of 2.42 and above its five-year mean of 7.52 [14] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 earnings per share (EPS) has decreased from $1.39 to $1.21, with 2026 EPS estimates also declining from $2.08 to $1.84 [16] Future Outlook - The potential approval of relacorilant is anticipated to broaden the patient base and positively impact stock performance in future quarters [17] - However, the reliance on Korlym for revenue remains a concern, and any regulatory or developmental setbacks could adversely affect the company's growth prospects [17][18]