“反内卷”成果显著，业绩中枢上行

Market Overview - From August 18 to August 22, 2025, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 3.49%, the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 4.57%, and the ChiNext Index grew by 5.85% [2][3] - The Shenwan Electric Equipment Index increased by 2.28%, underperforming the CSI 300 by 1.90 percentage points [2][3] - In sub-sectors, the Shenwan photovoltaic equipment rose by 3.47%, wind power equipment decreased by 0.90%, battery increased by 2.53%, and grid equipment rose by 1.21% [2][3] Company Performance - Longi Green Energy reported a revenue of 32.8 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a decrease of 14.83% compared to 38.529 billion yuan in the same period last year [3] - The company recorded a net loss of 2.569 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, improving from a net loss of 5.23 billion yuan in the previous year [3] - The silicon wafer shipment volume was 52.08 GW, with external sales of 24.72 GW, while battery component shipments totaled 41.85 GW, including 39.57 GW of component sales [3] Industry Insights - The photovoltaic industry is currently at the bottom of the cycle, with future policy strength being a key variable affecting industry trends [4] - The industry is expected to enter a phase of high-quality development, with technological upgrades and market structure optimization becoming core competitive factors [4] - Recommendations include focusing on silicon material, glass, and battery segments, as well as new technologies and leading manufacturers [4] Wind Power Sector - The wind power industry chain in China has a relatively reasonable supply-demand structure and good profitability [5] - The domestic offshore wind construction is accelerating, and offshore wind power is seen as a significant growth point for the marine economy [5] - Recommendations for the wind power sector include focusing on companies like Goldwind Technology and Orient Cable [5] New Energy Vehicles - The new energy vehicle supply chain in China continues to grow rapidly, with a recent clearing of low-end capacity due to price declines [5] - Recommendations include focusing on battery and component segments benefiting from low upstream raw material prices, with companies like CATL and EVE Energy highlighted [5] - As supply-side structure improves, leading companies benefiting from industry recovery are also recommended [5]