智通财经网·2025-08-26 01:22Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that the express delivery industry in China is experiencing significant growth, with a total volume of 164.0 billion parcels in July 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 15.1% [1] - For the first seven months of 2025, the total parcel volume reached 1,120.5 billion, showing a year-on-year growth of 18.7%, surpassing the postal administration's forecast of over 8% for the entire year [1] - The growth is driven by the trend of smaller packages, e-commerce promotions, and convenient return policies [1] Group 2 - In the e-commerce express segment, major players such as YTO Express, Yunda Express, and Shentong Express reported year-on-year growth rates of 20.8%, 7.6%, and 11.9% respectively in July 2025 [1] - For the first seven months of 2025, their respective growth rates were 21.6%, 15.1%, and 19.3% [1] - SF Express achieved a year-on-year growth of 33.7% in July 2025 and 26.9% for the first seven months, attributed to the implementation of operational activation strategies and increased incentives for frontline operations [1] Group 3 - The Ministry of Finance and the State Taxation Administration announced new VAT policies for express delivery services, effective immediately, stating that express companies will pay VAT based on "collection and delivery services" [1] - According to Guohai Securities, the industry average revenue per parcel in July 2025 was 7.36 yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 5.33% and a month-on-month decline of 1.76% [2] - The ongoing trend of smaller packages and price wars are impacting revenue per parcel, although there are indications of potential price recovery in August due to a shift away from intense competition [2] Group 4 - The report highlights the potential for recovery in performance for franchise express companies amid the backdrop of reduced competition [2] - The express delivery sector is seeing a narrowing of price declines, with expectations of a slowdown in competitive pressure [2] - The focus remains on the performance growth of time-sensitive express delivery leaders and the valuation recovery opportunities in the e-commerce express segment [2] Group 5 - Related Hong Kong-listed express delivery companies include ZTO Express (02057), SF Holding (06936), SF Express City (09699), JD Logistics (02618), and YTO International Express (06123) [3]