Xin Lang Ji Jin·2025-08-26 02:24Core Viewpoint - The domestic AI industry chain, particularly the Sci-Tech Innovation Artificial Intelligence ETF (589520), is experiencing a market correction, with significant fluctuations in component stocks, reflecting both market dynamics and investor sentiment towards AI domestic alternatives [1][3][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - On August 26, the Sci-Tech Innovation Artificial Intelligence ETF (589520) saw a decline of 1.96%, with major component stocks like Chipone Technology dropping over 8% and Cambricon Technologies falling more than 3% [1]. - Despite the market downturn, the ETF attracted significant capital inflow, with 45.62 million yuan on August 25 and a total of 150 million yuan over the past 60 days, indicating strong investor interest in AI domestic alternatives [1][3]. Group 2: Stock Dynamics - The decline in the ETF is attributed to the performance of major weighted stocks, particularly Cambricon Technologies and Chipone Technology, which faced sell-offs due to shareholder actions rather than fundamental business deterioration [3]. - Analysts emphasize that the reduction in shareholding does not equate to a decline in business fundamentals, as Chipone Technology maintains competitive strength in the AI chip sector [3]. Group 3: Industry Trends - The development of domestic computing chips is characterized by two main technological routes: one focusing on GPGPU compatibility with NVIDIA's CUDA, and the other aiming to establish an independent ecosystem outside of NVIDIA's influence [3]. - The growth of the domestic computing market share is driven by product advancements and the narrowing gap with NVIDIA, alongside improvements in the domestic computing ecosystem [3]. Group 4: Future Outlook - First Shanghai Securities projects that the market size for NVIDIA's graphics cards in China will exceed 10 billion USD by 2024, capturing 70-80% of the market share, while domestic computing demand is expected to double by 2025 [4]. - Donghai Securities anticipates that the demand for AI chips will surge, with local brands like Cambricon expected to capture 40% of the market share by 2025 due to increased R&D and supportive industry policies [4]. - The emphasis on self-sufficiency in AI technology is crucial, with the Sci-Tech Innovation Artificial Intelligence ETF (589520) positioned to benefit from the acceleration of domestic AI industry development [4].