“矿工与交易商矿业论坛”认为：全球锂市场仍具复苏潜力

Core Viewpoint - The global lithium market is currently undervalued, with significant growth potential driven by electric vehicles (EVs) and battery storage demand despite recent price declines [1][2]. Group 1: Current Market Conditions - Global lithium prices have significantly dropped, with spodumene prices at $975 per ton in mid-August, down from a peak of $8,200 per ton in November 2022 [1]. - The price of lithium hydroxide in North Asia is currently $8,850 per ton, a decrease from $11,700 per ton in August 2024 [1]. - The entire supply chain, including lithium raw material and chemical producers, is under pressure, partly due to sluggish EV growth [1]. Group 2: Regional Insights - Executives emphasize the need to focus on markets outside North America, where EV growth is stalling due to policy challenges [2]. - Countries like Brazil and Mexico, which have larger populations than the U.S., are expected to drive a 22% year-on-year increase in global pure electric vehicle sales by the first half of 2025 [2]. Group 3: Demand Projections - The lithium demand from energy storage systems is projected to become a structural pillar, with estimates suggesting that by 2029, one-quarter of lithium demand will be directed towards storage [3]. - Global fixed energy storage saw over a 120% year-on-year increase in Q2, with June alone experiencing a growth of approximately 200% [3]. - The growth in the fixed storage sector is expected to accelerate, potentially surpassing the electric vehicle market due to the need for stability in the global energy network [3].