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开源证券:给予华宝新能买入评级

Core Viewpoint - Huabao New Energy has shown significant revenue growth in Q2 2025, with a focus on new product performance and profit elasticity, maintaining a "Buy" rating [2]. Revenue Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 920 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 64.9%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders was 38 million yuan, down 14.41%, and the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 10 million yuan, down 63% [2]. - Revenue growth in different regions for H1 2025 was as follows: North America +43%, Asia (excluding China) +32%, Europe +106%, and other regions +86% [3]. Product and Market Insights - The company expects continued revenue growth driven by new products and an increase in overseas production capacity. The portable energy storage and solar panel segments saw revenue growth of 39% and 53%, respectively, in H1 2025 [3]. - The company anticipates that the share of portable energy storage products will increase, particularly with the gradual contribution of mobile home storage products [3]. Profitability and Cost Structure - The gross margin for Q1 and Q2 2025 was 44.2% and 39.9%, respectively, reflecting a year-on-year decline due to high tariffs impacting costs [4]. - The overall expense ratio showed improvement, with Q2 2025 expenses increasing primarily due to sales and management costs, while financial expenses rose due to decreased interest income [4]. Future Earnings Forecast - The revised profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are as follows: net profit of 384 million yuan in 2025, 596 million yuan in 2026, and 772 million yuan in 2027, with corresponding EPS of 3.08, 4.78, and 6.19 yuan [2]. - The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 19.3 for 2025, 12.4 for 2026, and 9.6 for 2027, indicating potential for growth based on new product launches and market expansion [2].