Core Viewpoint - The domestic retail price of refined oil is expected to decrease significantly, marking the seventh reduction of the year, with some regions potentially seeing prices return to the "6 yuan era" [1][2]. Group 1: Price Adjustments - As of August 26, a new adjustment window for domestic refined oil retail prices will open, with predictions indicating a reduction exceeding 50 yuan/ton [1]. - This reduction follows a pattern of "six increases, six decreases, and four stasis" in the year, resulting in a total decrease of 225 yuan/ton for gasoline and 215 yuan/ton for diesel compared to the end of last year [1]. - If the current price adjustment is implemented, the overall adjustment pattern for 2025 will shift to "six increases, seven decreases, and four stasis" [1]. Group 2: Expected Price Changes - As of August 22, the reference crude oil change rate was -4.41%, suggesting a potential decrease of 190 yuan/ton for gasoline and diesel, translating to a reduction of approximately 0.15 yuan/liter for 92-octane gasoline and 0.16 yuan/liter for 0-octane diesel [2]. - For a private car filling a 50L tank of 92-octane gasoline, the cost savings would amount to 7.5 yuan, and for a vehicle running 2000 kilometers monthly with an average fuel consumption of 8L/100km, the fuel cost would decrease by around 12 yuan before the next price adjustment window on September 9 [2]. Group 3: Future Price Adjustment Schedule - A detailed schedule for oil price adjustments in 2025 has been provided, indicating various dates and the corresponding results, although many adjustments remain unannounced [3].
今晚国内成品油价或迎今年以来第七次下调 有望重回“6元时代”!
Jin Tou Wang·2025-08-26 06:25