新闻有观点·行业洞察丨价格翻倍，“柠檬自由”不再？

Core Viewpoint - The price of lemons has significantly increased this summer, with wholesale prices reaching 14.08 yuan per kilogram in July 2025, up over 80% from 7.76 yuan per kilogram in the same period last year [1][3]. Industry Analysis - The primary reason for the price surge is a decrease in lemon production last year, coupled with increased demand from tea brands due to high summer temperatures [3][4]. - The main variety driving the price increase is the "yellow lemon," which accounts for 80% of domestic cultivation [4]. - The lemon market is expected to stabilize as new harvests from major production areas, such as Sichuan Anyue, are anticipated to hit the market in October [3][6]. Market Dynamics - The current price increase is viewed as a short-term phenomenon, with historical precedents indicating that prices can quickly decline after initial surges [3][4]. - The confidence of growers has improved, leading to increased production enthusiasm, although there are calls for responsible pricing practices to avoid market distortions [6][11]. Processing and Consumption - Fresh lemon sales dominate the market, with 60%-70% of lemons sold as fresh fruit, while 30%-40% are processed [7][9]. - Lemons are valued for their health benefits, including antioxidant properties and various health functions, which contribute to their popularity [9][10]. - The processing of lemons extends beyond beverages to include cosmetics, cleaning products, and health supplements, indicating a diverse market potential [11][12]. Export Potential - Sichuan Anyue lemons are exported to over 30 countries, benefiting from quality recognition and stable supply [11][12]. - There is a suggestion to target high-end markets for exports to enhance the value of lemon products and encourage deeper processing capabilities among domestic companies [11][12].