Core Viewpoint - Rocket Lab has experienced significant growth in 2025, with stock prices increasing nearly 90% year-to-date, driven by successful rocket launches and new contracts, particularly for the Neutron rocket program [2][3] Revenue Growth Trajectory - Rocket Lab's last-twelve-month revenues stand at $504 million, with projections to exceed $1.2 billion by 2027, indicating potential revenue growth of more than 100% [3] - Key drivers for this growth include increased launch frequency, expansion into larger payloads with the Neutron rocket, and diversification into satellite manufacturing and space systems [6][10] Valuation Framework - The company is currently trading at nearly 50 times trailing revenues, reflecting a premium for high-growth space companies [4] - If revenues double while stock prices remain stable, the revenue multiple could decrease to 25x, with a more realistic multiple projected at around 35x by 2027 [4][5] Price Target Analysis - Applying a 35x multiple to expected 2027 revenues of over $1.2 billion suggests an implied share price of approximately $85, representing nearly 80% upside from current levels [5] Growth Catalysts - Several catalysts could enhance Rocket Lab's growth trajectory, including government contract wins, demand for commercial satellite constellations, vertical integration, and international expansion [10] Risks and Challenges - Potential risks include execution challenges in Neutron development, competitive pressure from companies like SpaceX, regulatory hurdles, and capital requirements for expansion [7][10]
RKLB Stock To $85?