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中长期供需偏紧 草甘膦价格持续走高
Zheng Quan Shi Bao·2025-08-26 17:34

Group 1 - Glyphosate raw material prices have been rising since May, with prices for 95% purity reaching 27,500 yuan/ton and 97% purity at 28,000 yuan/ton, an increase of approximately 20% since early May [1] - As of August 24, glyphosate weekly production was 8,600 tons, up 18.71% from the previous week, while inventory decreased to 27,800 tons, indicating a tight supply situation [1] - Glyphosate accounts for about 30% of the global herbicide market, with China holding a significant production capacity of 810,000 tons per year, representing nearly 70% of the global total [1] Group 2 - The market for glyphosate is expected to maintain a tight balance in the medium to long term, with limited new production capacity due to regulatory restrictions in China [2] - The demand for glyphosate is anticipated to grow as the area of genetically modified crops increases and traditional herbicides face market exit due to toxicity issues [2] - Major companies in the glyphosate industry include Xingfa Group, Fuhua Chemical, and Jiangshan Chemical, with the top five companies holding a market share of 74% [2] Group 3 - Jiangshan Chemical has a production capacity of 70,000 tons/year for glyphosate and is one of the first companies to pass environmental inspections [3] - The increase in glyphosate prices is expected to positively impact company performance, with Xingfa Group estimating that a 1,000 yuan/ton price increase could add approximately 200 million yuan to annual profits [3] - Companies like Runfeng and Jiangshan have reported significant net profit growth, with Runfeng's net profit increasing by 205.62% year-on-year [3]