美联储巴尔金：美国经济活动变化有限 预计利率将温和调整

Core Viewpoint - The Richmond Fed President Barkin indicated that he expects limited changes in U.S. economic activity for the remainder of the year, suggesting that any adjustments to interest rates by the Federal Reserve may be relatively modest [1] Economic Outlook - Barkin noted that the current economic fluctuations appear to be mild, which would correspond to small adjustments in interest rates [1] - He emphasized that this is a current prediction and will ultimately depend on future economic data [1] Federal Reserve Policy Discussion - Investors widely anticipate a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in the September meeting, following comments from Fed Chair Powell regarding rising downside risks in the labor market [1] - The balance of risks is shifting, which may necessitate adjustments in monetary policy [1] - The Fed will engage in intense discussions regarding the policy path for the remaining meetings in October and December after the September meeting [1] Interest Rate Projections - The dot plot released in June indicated that most officials expect at least two rate cuts this year, although a significant number of officials prefer only one cut or no cuts at all [1] - The Fed will release updated economic and interest rate forecasts following the September meeting [1] Barkin's Position - Barkin did not provide a clear signal regarding his inclination for the September meeting, stating he will make the best judgment based on all available information on the day of the meeting [1]