


Core Viewpoint - The announcement by Trump regarding the dismissal of Fed Governor Cook has raised concerns about the independence of the Federal Reserve, with potential legal battles expected to ensue [1] Market Reaction - Following the news of Trump's intention to dismiss Cook, the market exhibited a "knee-jerk reaction" similar to the previous incident involving Powell, leading to a steepening of the U.S. Treasury yield curve, declines in U.S. stock futures, and a drop in the dollar index, while gold prices increased [1] - After Cook's legal response, market reactions stabilized, indicating that the outcome of the situation will depend on U.S. legal proceedings [1] Federal Reserve Outlook - The report suggests that under Powell's leadership, the independence of the Federal Reserve is likely to be maintained, despite the ongoing political pressures [1] - Powell's dovish remarks at the Jackson Hole meeting are seen as paving the way for a rate cut in September, with market expectations for further rate cuts increasing due to the Trump-Cook incident [1] - The company maintains its previous forecast that the Federal Reserve will cut rates three times within the year, each by 25 basis points [1]