财政、金融政策协同发力 钢市旺季或迎新动能

Group 1 - The broad money supply (M2) in China reached 329.94 trillion yuan at the end of July, with a year-on-year growth of 8.8%, while the narrow money supply (M1) was 111.06 trillion yuan, growing by 5.6% year-on-year [1] - In the first seven months of the year, new RMB loans increased by 12.87 trillion yuan, and the cumulative social financing scale increased by 23.99 trillion yuan, which is 5.12 trillion yuan more than the previous year [1] - There is a noticeable divergence in credit and social financing data, with new RMB loans showing a significant year-on-year decrease, while social financing scale growth has increased [1] Group 2 - The current macroeconomic environment is characterized by a persistent supply-demand imbalance, and the "anti-involution" policies may alleviate low-price competition among enterprises, but the sustainability of these effects depends on the recovery of demand [2] - The introduction of personal consumption loan interest subsidy policies and service industry loan subsidy policies aims to support consumption and expand domestic demand, reflecting a coordinated effort between fiscal and financial policies [2] - The People's Bank of China plans to implement a moderately loose monetary policy in the second half of the year to support technological innovation, boost consumption, stabilize foreign trade, and promote high-quality economic development [2] Group 3 - The domestic steel market is transitioning from the off-season to the peak season, but pre-peak stocking enthusiasm is lower than expected due to production restrictions in key regions [3] - There is a clear differentiation in end-user demand, with manufacturing steel demand significantly outperforming construction steel demand, influencing the flow of molten iron among steel enterprises [3] - The upcoming traditional peak season may receive new support due to the coordinated efforts of fiscal and financial policies [3]