7月份流动性合理充裕 债市收益率整体上行

Group 1 - The overall funding environment in July 2025 was balanced and slightly loose, with an increase in money market trading volume and a decrease in balances, leading to a decline in most repo rates [1][2] - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) emphasized a moderately loose monetary policy to ensure liquidity remains ample, aligning social financing and money supply growth with economic growth and price level expectations [1][2] - The interbank market was active in July, with a trading volume of 231.7 trillion yuan, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 12.7% and a year-on-year increase of 15.7% [1][2] Group 2 - In July, the PBOC conducted significant open market operations, with a net injection of 468 billion yuan, including 14 trillion yuan in reverse repos and 4 trillion yuan in medium-term lending facilities (MLF) [2][3] - Major repo rates showed a mixed trend, with the overnight repo rate (DR001) rising by 1 basis point to 1.39%, while the 7-day repo rate (DR007) fell by 7 basis points to 1.53% [2][3] Group 3 - The bond market saw a total issuance of 5.29 trillion yuan in July, a decrease of 0.6% month-on-month but an increase of 27.6% year-on-year, with net financing reaching 2.31 trillion yuan, up 7.9% month-on-month and 86.6% year-on-year [4] - The yield on government bonds trended upward, with the 10-year government bond yield fluctuating between 1.64% and 1.75%, and the yield curve steepening [4][5] Group 4 - The interest rate swap curve ended its inversion, with short-term rates decreasing and long-term rates increasing, indicating a shift in market sentiment [6] - The average daily trading volume of interest rate swaps increased significantly, with a total nominal principal of 4.6 trillion yuan and a daily average of 200.9 billion yuan, reflecting a month-on-month growth of 30% [6]