恩捷股份(002812)：行业周期性承压 固态产品放量可期

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 5.76 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 20.5%, but incurred a net loss of 90 million yuan, marking a shift from profit to loss [1] - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 3.03 billion yuan, with year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter growth of 23.6% and 11.2% respectively, but also reported a net loss of 120 million yuan [1] - The company's gross margin decreased to 15.5%, down 5.49 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin fell to -1.6%, a decline of 7.7 percentage points year-on-year [1] Revenue and Profitability - The company's revenue growth was driven by increased shipment volumes, but pricing pressures led to a weaker revenue growth rate compared to shipment growth [1] - The average price of the company's products, specifically the 7um film, decreased by 25% year-on-year to 0.74 yuan per square meter in H1 2025, impacting revenue growth [1] - The company plans to stabilize prices and has reached key agreements in the lithium battery separator industry to pause capacity expansion and implement price discipline [1] Future Outlook - The company is expected to maintain high revenue growth in the second half of 2025, supported by increasing production capacity in Hungary and stabilization of product prices [1] - The company’s subsidiary, Hunan Enjie, has begun production of lithium sulfide and signed a significant investment agreement for solid-state electrolytes, indicating potential for future growth [2] - The company is positioned as a leading player in the separator industry, with strategic initiatives to enhance capacity utilization and cost efficiency, while also expanding into international markets [2] Financial Projections - Revenue projections for the company are estimated at 11.5 billion yuan, 13.5 billion yuan, and 16.1 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [2] - Expected net profits for the same years are projected to be 8 million yuan, 500 million yuan, and 830 million yuan, with earnings per share of 0.01, 0.52, and 0.86 yuan [2]