Group 1 - The euro against the US dollar is currently trading around 1.16, with a slight decline of 0.15% from the previous close of 1.1643 [1] - Eurozone's July harmonized CPI increased by 2.0% year-on-year, aligning with market expectations, while core CPI remained stable at 2.3% [1] - The stable inflation data supports the European Central Bank's (ECB) decision to maintain current monetary policy, leading to a decrease in expectations for interest rate cuts [1] Group 2 - ECB President Lagarde noted that recent trade agreements have alleviated some external uncertainties but have not completely eliminated risks, with ongoing geopolitical fragmentation and supply chain adjustments posing challenges [1] - The eurozone economy is showing resilience in a complex global environment, but trends in service sector inflation and wage growth require close monitoring [1] - The latest macroeconomic forecast suggests a potential slowdown in eurozone economic growth by Q3 2025, raising concerns for the euro's medium-term outlook [1] Group 3 - The first support level for the euro against the US dollar is at 1.1600, with further bearish targets at 1.1550, 1.1500, and the 100-day SMA at 1.1480 [2] - If the euro rises above 1.1650, subsequent targets will be the August 19 high of 1.1692 and 1.1700, with a key resistance at the July 24 high of 1.1788 [2]
通胀达标欧元中期仍隐忧
Jin Tou Wang·2025-08-27 02:50