澳洲联储持谨慎宽松立场 降息步伐与通胀数据绑定
Jin Tou Wang·2025-08-27 04:43

Group 1 - The Australian dollar (AUD) is currently trading at approximately 0.6488 against the US dollar, reflecting a 0.05% decline from the previous close of 0.6491 [1] - The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) indicated in its meeting minutes that further monetary easing may be necessary within the next year, depending on economic data performance [1] - Market expectations suggest that the RBA may pause any action in September but could lower the interest rate to 3.35% in November [1] Group 2 - Technical analysis shows that the AUD/USD is attempting to break out of a descending channel, indicating a potential shift from a bearish to a bullish trend [2] - The current price is above the nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of 0.6476, suggesting increased short-term price momentum [2] - A successful breakout above the immediate resistance area around 0.6590 could confirm the bullish trend, potentially leading to a test of the monthly high of 0.6568 and the nine-month peak of 0.6625 [2]