洽洽食品(002557)：业绩短期承压 静待盈利修复

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, primarily due to macroeconomic conditions, channel changes, and high raw material costs, particularly for sunflower seeds and nuts [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 2.75 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5.1% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 90 million yuan, down 73.7% year-on-year [1] - The gross margin for H1 2025 was 20.3%, a decline of 8.1 percentage points compared to the previous year [3] Group 2: Product and Market Performance - Revenue from sunflower seeds, nuts, and other products in H1 2025 was 1.77 billion yuan (-4.5%), 614 million yuan (-7.0%), and 300 million yuan (-13.8%) respectively [2] - The company launched new products such as honey butter-flavored fresh-cut potato chips and konjac, contributing to new growth points [2] - The southern region saw revenue growth of 2.4% to 880 million yuan, while the eastern and northern regions experienced declines of 24.8% and 19.8% respectively [2] Group 3: Cost and Profitability - The gross margin for sunflower seeds and nuts was 20.9% (-7.7pp) and 14.8% (-14.0pp) respectively, impacted by high raw material costs [3] - Selling, general, and administrative expenses increased, with the R&D expense ratio rising by 0.4 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The net profit margin for H1 2025 was 3.2%, down 8.4 percentage points from the previous year [3] Group 4: Strategic Outlook - The company is focusing on channel expansion into new retail formats and has established a To B division to target group purchasing and catering channels [4] - Efforts to strengthen raw material control include direct sourcing and trial planting in various overseas locations [4] - Profit forecasts for 2025-2027 project net profits of 480 million yuan, 630 million yuan, and 760 million yuan, with EPS of 0.95 yuan, 1.25 yuan, and 1.50 yuan respectively [4]