7月规模以上工业生产保持稳定增长

Core Insights - In July, the profits of large-scale industrial enterprises in China decreased by 1.5% year-on-year, but the decline narrowed by 2.8 percentage points compared to June, marking a continuous two-month contraction [1] - High-tech manufacturing profits turned from a 0.9% decline in June to an 18.9% increase in July, significantly contributing to the overall profit recovery of large-scale industrial enterprises [1][2] - The operating income of large-scale industrial enterprises grew by 0.9% year-on-year in July, with a cumulative growth of 2.3% from January to July, creating favorable conditions for profit recovery [1] Industrial Performance - Medium and small enterprises showed significant profit improvement in July, with profits rising by 1.8% and 0.5% respectively, compared to declines of 7.8% and 9.7% in June [2] - Private enterprises experienced a profit increase of 2.6% in July, surpassing the national average by 4.1 percentage points [2] - The gross profit margin for enterprises improved, with a shift from a 1.3% decline in June to a 0.1% increase in July [2] Manufacturing Sector Growth - Manufacturing profits increased by 6.8% year-on-year in July, accelerating by 5.4 percentage points compared to June, contributing significantly to the overall profit recovery [2][3] - The raw materials manufacturing sector saw profits rebound from a 5.0% decline in June to a 36.9% increase in July, with the steel and petroleum processing industries turning profitable [2] - High-tech manufacturing profits surged by 18.9% in July, with notable growth in aerospace (40.9%), integrated circuits (176.1%), and semiconductor devices (104.5%) [2][3] Policy Impact - The implementation of "two new" policies has led to significant profit growth in related industries, with equipment manufacturing sectors experiencing increases of 87.9% and 15.3% [3] - The "old-for-new" policy in consumer goods has driven profits in computer manufacturing and smart drone production to grow by 124.2% and 100.0% respectively [3] - The manufacturing sector is experiencing a divergence in profit growth rates across upstream, midstream, and downstream segments, with upstream raw materials benefiting from price increases and downstream consumer goods seeing reduced profit declines [3]