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广发证券:后市布局看好四大方向
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao·2025-08-27 20:18

Core Viewpoint - The recent market trend is characterized by a "high growth narrative," where industries or sectors with high growth potential are performing exceptionally well [1][2]. Group 1: Macroeconomic Analysis - The recent rally in A-shares is driven by factors such as narrow liquidity easing and the appreciation of the RMB against the USD [1]. - Since September 2024, the central bank has implemented two reserve requirement ratio cuts, contributing to a relatively loose narrow liquidity environment [1]. - The depreciation of the USD since April has led to a favorable performance of emerging market currencies, with the RMB showing a one-sided upward trend against the USD [1][2]. Group 2: Market Trends and Asset Performance - As of August 27, the Wind micro-index has surged over 56% this year, outperforming major indices like the Shanghai Composite Index and Shenzhen Component Index [2]. - The trend of small-cap stocks outperforming continues, reflecting a diverse industrial landscape [2][3]. Group 3: Investment Opportunities - The market is expected to have limited downside risk, supported by the central bank's commitment to provide sufficient re-lending support when necessary [3]. - Key investment directions include: 1. Non-bank financial sectors, including financial IT, brokerage, and insurance [3]. 2. A-share real estate chain and Hong Kong real estate sectors from a low-position perspective [3]. 3. Overseas computing power chains and innovative pharmaceuticals [3]. 4. Domestic AI infrastructure and applications, which are still in the process of industrial expectation recovery [3].