菲妄想打“台湾牌”换中国在南海退让，专家：打错了算盘，中国绝不会让步

Group 1 - The Philippines is unofficially integrating Taiwan into its national and regional defense framework, despite officially adhering to the One China policy [1][2] - There is an increase in non-official defense and security contacts between the Philippines and Taiwan, including meetings between security officials and military leaders [1] - The military exchanges between the Philippines and Taiwan have reportedly deepened since President Marcos took office, with more deliberate efforts to enhance cooperation [1][2] Group 2 - President Marcos indicated that the Philippines cannot remain neutral if tensions arise between China and the U.S. over Taiwan, citing geographical factors [2] - The Philippines is rumored to consider formally recognizing Taiwan to leverage concessions from China regarding South China Sea disputes [2] - The U.S.-Philippines Mutual Defense Treaty is seen as a factor that could draw the Philippines into a conflict over Taiwan, depending on U.S. commitments [3]