Anhui Xinbo Aluminum (SZ:003038) Zheng Quan Zhi Xing·2025-08-27 22:56Core Viewpoint - Xinbo Co., Ltd. reported disappointing financial results for the first half of 2025, with significant declines in revenue and net profit compared to the previous year [1]. Financial Performance - Total revenue for the first half of 2025 was 3.996 billion yuan, a decrease of 4.11% year-on-year [1]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 36.8877 million yuan, down 75.74% year-on-year [1]. - In Q2 2025, total revenue was 2.014 billion yuan, a decline of 16.04% year-on-year, with net profit of 203.22 thousand yuan, down 98.17% [1]. - Gross margin was 6.5%, a decrease of 22.93% year-on-year, while net margin was 1.01%, down 72.46% [1]. - Total expenses (selling, administrative, and financial) amounted to 135 million yuan, accounting for 3.38% of revenue, an increase of 15.3% year-on-year [1]. Balance Sheet and Cash Flow - Accounts receivable increased to 2.402 billion yuan, up 4.41% year-on-year, with accounts receivable to net profit ratio at 1426.37% [1][4]. - Cash and cash equivalents decreased to 2.184 billion yuan, down 8.94% year-on-year [1]. - The company reported a significant increase in operating cash flow per share to 0.79 yuan, up 132.11% year-on-year [1]. Investment Returns and Business Model - The company's return on invested capital (ROIC) for the previous year was 3.11%, indicating weak capital returns [3]. - Historical data shows a median ROIC of 11.12% since the company went public, suggesting better investment returns in the past [3]. - The business model relies heavily on R&D and capital expenditures, necessitating careful evaluation of capital projects and spending [3]. Debt and Financial Health - The company’s interest-bearing debt increased to 6.528 billion yuan, up 9.24% year-on-year, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 61.32% [4]. - The average operating cash flow over the past three years has been negative, raising concerns about financial sustainability [4]. Market Expectations - Analysts project a net profit of 291 million yuan for 2025, with an average earnings per share estimate of 1.19 yuan [5]. Fund Holdings - The largest fund holding Xinbo Co., Ltd. is the Huaxia Low Carbon Economy Mixed Fund, with 605,000 shares held [6]. - Other funds have increased their positions or newly entered the top ten holdings, indicating some level of investor interest despite recent performance issues [6].