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国金证券-晶科能源-688223-出货稳居第一,持续巩固技术优势-250827
Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-08-27 23:58

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a significant decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, but it maintains a leading position in the solar component market and anticipates recovery in profitability due to industry price adjustments and technological advancements [2][3][5]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 31.8 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 33% - The net profit attributable to shareholders was -2.909 billion, with a non-recurring net profit of -3.175 billion, indicating a shift to losses compared to the previous year [2]. Operational Analysis - The company maintained its position as the industry leader in component shipments, with 41.84 GW shipped in the first half of the year, over 60% of which were overseas [3]. - The company is experiencing pressure on operations due to supply-demand imbalances in the solar industry, leading to a decline in gross margin for solar components to -0.98% [3]. - The solar industry is undergoing a "de-involution" process, with price increases in multiple segments expected to improve profitability [3]. Technological Advancements - The company is advancing its TOPCon product line, with over 20 GW of high-power TOPCon capacity and plans for significant upgrades by the end of 2025 [4]. - Continuous innovation in TOPCon technology is expected to generate a premium of 0.5-1 cent per watt, aiding in profitability recovery [4]. Market Outlook - The company is focusing on the energy storage sector, with a target of 6 GWh in shipments by 2025, which is anticipated to drive profit growth [4]. - The profitability forecast for 2025-2027 has been adjusted to -3.81 billion, 1.85 billion, and 3.69 billion, respectively, with expectations of gradual improvement due to industry dynamics and technological advantages [5].