综述丨美对印惩罚性关税生效 印度多举措应对冲击

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. has imposed a 25% punitive tariff on Indian goods, effective August 27, leading to a cumulative tariff rate of 50% on Indian products, which is expected to significantly impact India's economy and exports [1][2]. Group 1: Economic Impact - The punitive tariffs are projected to reduce India's economic growth by 0.8 percentage points this year and next year [1]. - The Indian government estimates that the tariffs will affect exports worth $48.2 billion [1]. - The U.S. Department of Commerce anticipates that the trade volume between the U.S. and India will be approximately $128.8 billion in 2024, with India having a trade surplus of $45.8 billion with the U.S. [1]. Group 2: Export Challenges - The Chairman of the Indian Engineering Export Promotion Council indicated that export volumes could decline by 20% to 30% due to the tariffs [2]. - The Indian government is planning to diversify its export markets, focusing on nearly 50 countries and regions, particularly in textiles, processed foods, leather goods, and seafood [2]. Group 3: Government Response - The Indian government has committed to providing financial assistance to businesses affected by the tariffs, including increased bank loan subsidies [2]. - The Reserve Bank of India is prepared to take measures to protect the economy from the impact of high U.S. tariffs [2]. - Prime Minister Modi has emphasized the government's commitment to safeguarding the interests of small businesses, farmers, and livestock owners amid these challenges [2]. Group 4: Trade Negotiations - The planned U.S.-India trade negotiations scheduled for August 25-29 were postponed due to the cancellation of the U.S. trade delegation's visit [3]. - U.S. Treasury Secretary has expressed hopes to finalize trade agreements with India and other partners by the end of October [3].