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中际旭创(300308):二季度毛利率快速提升 1.6T下半年即将批量出货

Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong financial performance in the first half of 2025, with significant year-on-year growth in revenue and net profit, driven by robust demand for high-end optical modules and ongoing capital expenditure from major cloud service providers [1][3]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 14.8 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 37% [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 4.0 billion yuan, up 69% year-on-year, while the net profit after deducting non-recurring items was 3.98 billion yuan, reflecting a 70% increase [1]. - For Q2 alone, revenue was 8.11 billion yuan, a 36% increase year-on-year, with net profit attributable to shareholders at 2.41 billion yuan, marking a 79% rise [2]. Growth Drivers - The growth in performance is primarily attributed to the sustained construction of computing infrastructure by end customers and strong capital expenditure, leading to a significant increase in sales of high-end optical modules such as 800G [3]. - The demand for 800G optical modules remains strong, supported by ongoing high capital expenditure from major domestic and international cloud service providers [3]. Product Development - The company is a global leader in the optical module sector, with successful advancements in emerging technologies such as 1.6T and silicon photonics [4]. - The 1.6T optical module products are currently in the testing phase and are expected to begin mass shipments in the second half of the year, contributing to a new round of revenue growth starting in 2026 [4]. - The company has a solid technology reserve in silicon photonics, including self-developed silicon photonic chips and solutions, positioning it well to maintain its industry leadership amid rising AI demand [4]. Profitability Outlook - The gross margin for Q2 reached 41.49%, an increase of 8.05 percentage points year-on-year and 4.79 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, driven by a higher proportion of high-end product shipments [3]. - The net profit margin for Q2 was 31.45%, up 8.29 percentage points year-on-year and 6.12 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, benefiting from cost reduction and efficiency improvements [3]. - Future quarters are expected to see further improvements in profitability as the 1.6T products accelerate shipments and silicon photonic product yields improve [3]. Earnings Forecast - The company has revised its net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 to 9.204 billion, 14.708 billion, and 20.464 billion yuan, representing year-on-year growth rates of 78.0%, 59.8%, and 39.1% respectively [4]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 8.21, 13.12, and 18.25 yuan for the same period, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 38, 24, and 17 times [4].