Core Viewpoint - The report from CICC indicates a strong performance for Lianlian Digital, with an upward revision of revenue forecasts for 2025 and 2026 by 2% to 1.65 billion and 2.02 billion HKD respectively, while maintaining adjusted profit estimates unchanged [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In 1H25, Lianlian Digital's revenue increased by 27% year-on-year to 780 million HKD, with net profit turning positive at 1.51 billion HKD compared to a net loss of 350 million HKD in 1H24, largely due to over 1.6 billion HKD in gains from the sale of part of its stake in LianTong [2] - The total payment volume (TPV) for 1H25 rose by 32% year-on-year to 2.1 trillion HKD, outpacing the revenue growth of 27% [3] - Gross profit for 1H25 increased by 25% year-on-year to 410 million HKD, maintaining a high gross margin of 52% [4] Group 2: Business Segments - Global payment TPV surged by 94% year-on-year to 198.5 billion HKD, with a decline in overall fee rates to 24 basis points due to higher growth in lower-fee service trade and B2B sectors [3] - Domestic payment TPV grew by 28% year-on-year to 1.9 trillion HKD, with stable fee rates at 1.1 basis points [3] - Value-added services revenue increased by 34% year-on-year to 90 million HKD, contributing 11% to total revenue, driven by virtual card services and the expansion of digital products [3] Group 3: Strategic Outlook - The company expects steady growth in payment business, with TPV projected to increase and payment revenue maintaining a growth rate of over 20% in the next 2-3 years [6] - The company plans to allocate 50% of its fundraising to enhance blockchain technology in cross-border payments, aiming to improve efficiency and security [7] - The recent approval of the VATP license opens up new growth opportunities in the Web3 payment sector, allowing the company to explore additional revenue streams [7]
中金：维持连连数字(02598)跑赢行业评级 上调目标价至15.8港元