金石资源(603505)：短期承压 稳步推进重点项目

Core Viewpoint - Jinshi Resources reported significant revenue growth in the first half of 2025, but net profit declined due to various factors impacting profitability [1][2][3] Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 1.726 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 54.24%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 126 million yuan, down 24.74% [1] - In Q2 2025, revenue reached 867 million yuan, a year-on-year growth of 29.22%, but net profit fell to 59 million yuan, a decrease of 44.63% year-on-year [1][2] AHF Contribution and Profitability Issues - The sales of anhydrous hydrofluoric acid (AHF) contributed to revenue growth, with sales volume increasing by 46,800 tons year-on-year, generating revenue of 906.74 million yuan, up 114.96% [2] - Despite revenue growth, the overall profitability was affected by low industry margins and specific operational challenges, leading to a decline in net profit [2] Project Progress and Production Capacity - The company’s projects are progressing well, with production targets being met. The domestic single fluorite mine produced 185,900 tons, and the Baotou project produced 390,000 tons of fluorite powder [3] - Key projects include the enhancement of mining capabilities at Xiangzhen Mining and the ongoing construction of the Mongolia project, which is expected to start trial production by the end of October 2025 [3] Resource Scale and Industry Position - Jinshi Resources holds a leading position in fluorite resource reserves in China, with approximately 27 million tons of exploitable resources, representing a significant market share [4] - The company operates eight mining rights for single fluorite mines and has a production capacity of 1.12 million tons per year, positioning it as a dominant player in the domestic market [4] Investment Outlook - The company is expected to continue its revenue growth trajectory, with projected revenues of 4.219 billion yuan in 2025, 4.930 billion yuan in 2026, and 5.587 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 53.3%, 16.9%, and 13.3% respectively [6] - Net profit forecasts for the same period are 521 million yuan, 706 million yuan, and 908 million yuan, indicating substantial growth potential [6]