湘财证券：供给端缩减 LPDDR4X价格显著上行

Group 1 - SK Hynix and Micron are gradually exiting the niche DRAM market, leading to a potential price increase for niche DRAM due to supply and demand dynamics [1] - The DDR4 market prices continue to rise, with LPDDR4X prices also increasing as a result of the DDR4 price surge; Samsung has postponed the planned discontinuation of 1z process DDR4 to December 2026 [1] - The domestic storage manufacturers are expected to benefit in the medium to long term due to the ongoing trend of domestic substitution and the gradual price increase of various storage products [1] Group 2 - LPDDR4X prices are significantly rising due to supply-side reductions and competition among suppliers, with Trendforce estimating a price increase of 38%-43% in the third quarter [2] - The demand for LPDDR5X is recovering, leading to a projected contract price increase of 10-15% [2] Group 3 - The SSD market is experiencing a slight price decline, with embedded channel prices stabilizing; manufacturers are shifting focus from low-margin products to high-margin QLC products [3] - Despite a relatively sufficient supply of SSDs, the overall inventory replenishment willingness remains low, and some manufacturers are lowering prices due to performance pressures [3] - In the embedded market, prices are stabilizing in the short term due to customer hesitation at high prices, but LPDDR4X price increases are expected to drive future price fluctuations upward [3]