中国版星链要来了？手机直连卫星对普通人有哪些影响？成本如何？赛迪研究院专家解读

Core Viewpoint - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) has released guidelines to optimize business access and promote the development of the satellite communication industry, aiming for over 10 million satellite communication users by 2030 and the integration of satellite communication into the new development framework to support high-quality economic and social development [1][2]. Industry Development - The guidelines are a response to the rapid growth in global satellite launches and advancements in satellite manufacturing and launch capabilities, particularly for low Earth orbit (LEO) satellites, which are becoming the primary focus due to their cost-effectiveness and strong signal transmission [2][3]. - The commercial space sector has been highlighted in government reports as a key driver for the development of the satellite communication industry, with significant market growth expected, projected to reach approximately 40 billion yuan by 2025 [2][3]. Policy Implications - The guidelines aim to enhance the integration of satellite communication with ground mobile communication and new information technologies like 5G/6G and artificial intelligence, fostering a comprehensive information communication infrastructure [4]. - The policy is expected to invigorate market dynamics by supporting state-owned enterprises in developing LEO satellite internet and allowing traditional telecom operators to expand into satellite communication services [4][5]. Market Opportunities - The guidelines encourage private enterprises to explore new satellite communication services, expanding access to satellite network resources and providing more opportunities for private space companies [5]. - The focus on LEO satellite internet is a significant aspect of the policy, with plans for commercial trials to enhance global broadband coverage and reduce communication latency [5][6]. User Impact - The introduction of "mobile direct satellite" communication is anticipated to revolutionize user experience by enabling seamless communication in areas lacking ground network coverage, significantly lowering barriers to access [7][8]. - The cost of satellite communication services is expected to decrease, with consumer-grade satellite communication devices projected to drop in price by over 30% in the next two years, and monthly service fees potentially falling to between 50 and 100 yuan [9][10]. Industry Integration - The integration of satellite communication with various industries, such as industrial internet, vehicle networking, and aviation, is expected to drive productivity transformations and enhance operational efficiency in remote areas [10][11]. - The deployment of LEO satellites will facilitate high-speed internet access on aircraft, potentially eliminating the need for flight mode on mobile devices [11].