Core Viewpoint - The report from CICC indicates a significant downward revision of the net profit forecast for Jinxin Fertility (01951) for 2025-2026 due to the impact of medical insurance payment policies and zero markup on medical consumables, with a projected net profit of 170 million yuan and 417 million yuan for 2025 and 2026 respectively, reflecting a decrease of 59.9% and 7.5% [1][2] Group 1: Financial Performance - Jinxin Fertility reported a revenue of 1.289 billion yuan for 1H25, a year-on-year decline of 10.7%, and an adjusted net profit of 82 million yuan, down 67.0% year-on-year, which was below market expectations due to the impact of medical insurance policies on cycle numbers and average transaction prices [2] - The company experienced a net loss attributable to shareholders of 1.04 billion yuan in 1H25, primarily due to impairment losses on goodwill and intangible assets in the US HRC amounting to 950 million yuan, and other investment impairments [4] Group 2: Policy Impact and Future Outlook - The implementation of medical insurance policies has led to a short-term decline in performance, but the company anticipates a recovery in 2026 as patient flow is expected to stabilize and return to IVF, alongside the new facility in Shenzhen increasing capacity [3] - The company is focusing on key business areas and expects potential policy support for egg freezing services, which could become a new growth driver due to stronger customer loyalty and longer service cycles [5] Group 3: Strategic Initiatives - The company plans to enhance shareholder returns through a long-term share buyback program after optimizing leverage, while also focusing on asset liability management and liquidity assurance through business restructuring and loan renewals [4] - The company is set to relocate its Shenzhen facility in 1Q26, aiming for a business capacity of 12,000-15,000 cycles, while continuing to strengthen core reproductive services in Yunnan and Wuhan [5]
中金：维持锦欣生殖(01951)跑赢行业评级 目标价3.90港元