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美元降息预期增强,建议关注出口链、人形机器人 | 投研报告

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the CITIC Machinery Industry rose by 2.58% during the week of August 18-22, 2025, ranking 19th among all primary industries in terms of performance [2][4] - Specific sector performances include: Engineering Machinery up 0.89%, General Equipment up 2.99%, Specialized Equipment up 2.74%, Instruments and Meters up 4.47%, Metal Products up 4.66%, and Transportation Equipment up 1.27% [2][4] Group 2 - The Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's speech on August 22 indicated a potential for a 25 basis point rate cut in September, with market expectations rising to 89% from 75% the previous day [2] - The anticipated cumulative rate cut for the year has increased to approximately 58 basis points, which may enhance capital expenditure willingness in the U.S. industrial and consumer goods sectors, benefiting export chain companies [2] Group 3 - The first partner conference of Zhiyuan Robotics was held on August 21, showcasing their comprehensive layout in product, technology, business, ecology, capital, and team [3] - NVIDIA is set to launch a new AI product on August 25, which is expected to be a significant breakthrough in the smart field [3] Group 4 - Investment recommendations include focusing on: Engineering Machinery (SANY Heavy Industry, Zoomlion, XCMG, Liugong, Shantui, Hengli Hydraulic) and General Equipment (forklifts, machine tools, cutting tools) [4][5] - Specific attention is suggested for high-tech barriers and high-value segments in humanoid robotics, such as assemblies, PEEK structural components, sensors, reducers, screws, motors, and equipment [5]