银河期货：法国政坛再度“地震” 黄金重获避险买盘

Group 1 - The Shanghai gold futures contract reported a price of 782.72 CNY per gram, with a slight increase of 0.16% [1] - The London gold and silver prices rose by 0.1% and 0.11% respectively, closing at 3396.495 USD per ounce and 38.56 USD per ounce [1] - The Shanghai silver futures contract increased by 0.02%, closing at 9327 CNY per kilogram [1] Group 2 - The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in September is 11.3%, while the probability of a 25 basis point cut is 88.7% [2] - In October, the probability of maintaining rates is 5.5%, with a cumulative 25 basis point cut probability at 49% and a 50 basis point cut at 45.5% [2] Group 3 - Powell's speech at the Jackson Hole meeting was generally dovish, leading to a temporary increase in market bets for a 25 basis point cut in September [3] - The ongoing crisis regarding the independence of the Federal Reserve may lead to higher overall inflation in the U.S. in the long term [3] - The political turmoil in France has renewed safe-haven buying for gold, suggesting that precious metals may continue to experience strong fluctuations at high levels [3]