民生证券：给予驰宏锌锗买入评级

Core Viewpoint - Chihong Zn & Ge Co., Ltd. reported stable production and steady growth in performance for the first half of 2025, with a buy rating recommended by Minsheng Securities [1][2]. Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 10.581 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.67% - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 932 million yuan, up 3.27% year-on-year - The net profit after deducting non-recurring items was 919 million yuan, reflecting a 12.11% increase year-on-year - For Q2 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 5.437 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.47% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 5.69% - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q2 was 438 million yuan, up 5.45% year-on-year but down 11.42% quarter-on-quarter [2]. Mining Operations - The metal production of lead and zinc in H1 2025 was 151,600 tons, with a year-on-year increase of 3,400 tons - Lead production increased by 13.8% year-on-year, while zinc production decreased by 1.3% - The domestic lead price in H1 2024 was 16,827 yuan/ton, down 0.38% year-on-year, while the zinc price was 23,328 yuan/ton, up 5.18% year-on-year - Prices for germanium ingots and germanium dioxide saw significant increases of 61.92% and 57.68% year-on-year, respectively [3]. Smelting Operations - The production of lead and zinc refined products in H1 2025 was 329,200 tons, a decrease of 6.98% year-on-year - Zinc alloy production increased by 17.23% year-on-year to 109,500 tons - The production of germanium products was 32.58 tons, down 4.99% year-on-year - Silver production increased by 16.44% year-on-year to 87.32 tons, while gold production decreased by 25.13% to 116.26 kg - The processing fees for zinc concentrate showed a significant upward trend due to the recovery of overseas mines and increased global supply [4]. Future Outlook - The company is a leader in the lead and zinc industry with abundant resources, holding over 32 million tons of lead and zinc resources - The company is undergoing asset injections, including the 100% stake in Qinghai Hongxin and the management of 81.12% stake in Yunnan Copper Zinc Industry, which is expected to enhance resource endowment and metal production in the future - Forecasted net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1.862 billion yuan, 2.017 billion yuan, and 2.363 billion yuan, respectively, with EPS of 0.37 yuan, 0.40 yuan, and 0.47 yuan per share [4].