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江河集团(601886):扣非业绩高增长 “出海”铸就新增长引擎

Core Viewpoint - The company maintains a "Buy" rating due to strong growth in non-recurring profits despite a decline in overall revenue [1][4]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 9.339 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 5.86%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 328 million, reflecting a 1.69% increase [1]. - The non-recurring net profit reached 334 million, showing a significant year-on-year growth of 21.43% [1]. - The second quarter alone saw revenue of 5.136 billion, down 11.97%, but net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 30.39% to 184 million, and non-recurring net profit surged by 57.09% to 155 million [1]. Group 2: Business Segments - In H1 2025, the construction decoration and healthcare segments generated revenues of 8.761 billion and 578 million, with year-on-year changes of -6.52% and +5.36%, respectively [2]. - The gross margins for these segments were 14.88% and 28.90%, with slight changes of -0.07 percentage points and +1.59 percentage points year-on-year [2]. - The company secured a total bid amount of approximately 13.7 billion, marking a year-on-year increase of 6.29%, with overseas orders accounting for 5.2 billion, representing a 61% increase [2]. Group 3: Profitability and Cash Flow - The overall gross margin for H1 2025 was 15.75%, an increase of 0.12 percentage points year-on-year, while the expense ratio rose to 10.72%, up 0.76 percentage points [3]. - The net profit margin improved to 4.02%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 0.10 percentage points [3]. - Operating cash flow showed a net outflow of 1.028 billion, which was an increase of 576 million year-on-year, primarily due to a higher proportion of payments made via wire transfer [3]. Group 4: Dividend Policy - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 170 million (before tax) for H1 2025, with a commitment to distribute at least 80% of the annual net profit attributable to shareholders in cash over the next three years [4]. - The current dividend yield (TTM) stands at 6.94%, highlighting the company's strong dividend value proposition [4]. - Adjustments to the projected net profit for 2025-2027 are made to 680 million, 740 million, and 810 million, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 13.3, 12.2, and 11.1 times [4].