美国取消 800 美元以下包裹免税，跨境电商如何变？

Core Viewpoint - The United States has officially canceled the tax exemption for imported packages valued at $800 or less, requiring full customs duties to be paid, which significantly impacts the cross-border e-commerce industry, particularly for Chinese sellers who previously benefited from this exemption [1] Group 1: Impact of New Regulations - The new tariff policy disrupts the long-standing "small package tax exemption" that the cross-border e-commerce industry relied on, with average tariff rates for previously exempt low-value packages expected to rise from 0% to a range of 25%-30%, increasing transaction costs [1] - 25 countries have announced a suspension of postal package shipments to the U.S., leading to a significant reduction in logistics channels, forcing sellers to rely on commercial logistics providers like UPS and FedEx, which have higher shipping costs and are experiencing delays and service quality issues due to increased demand [1][2] Group 2: Seller Challenges - The $800 tax exemption was a core advantage for cross-border e-commerce sellers in the U.S. market, covering mainstream categories such as electronics, clothing, and daily necessities. Major platforms like Temu and SHEIN have already raised product prices in response to the new regulations, with Amazon reporting a 29% average price increase across various categories since April 9 [3] - Price sensitivity among U.S. consumers has led some to shift to domestic e-commerce platforms, resulting in sales declines of over 20% for certain sellers. Approximately 30% of cross-border e-commerce sellers in the U.S. are small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs), which face greater challenges due to limited financial reserves and bargaining power in the supply chain [3] Group 3: Shift to Overseas Warehousing - Previously, over 60% of cross-border e-commerce sellers relied on direct shipping, benefiting from the tax exemption. However, the new regulations have made direct shipping costly and subject to delays, with average customs clearance times increasing from 5-6 days to 8-9 days [4] - The shift to overseas warehousing requires significant investment, ranging from $100,000 to $500,000, and necessitates accurate market demand forecasting to avoid inventory issues, posing greater operational challenges for SMEs [4] - The policy change is pushing the industry towards a transformation from "low-price competition" to "compliance, branding, and localization," with sellers that have overseas warehousing, multi-market operations, and product differentiation likely to emerge successfully from industry consolidation [4]